How much spin, in revolutions per minute, a pitch was Great American Ballpark has above average extra base hit park factors to the right-handed hitters, and extreme home run park factors for both sides of the plate. Its homer park factor has been over two standard deviations above league average in six of the last seven seasons, posting an MLB high in all seven. Park Factors. An odd ballpark in many respects. become a hit. Visual contact quality that chased outfielders back toward the warning track the last few years is now resulting in outs caught by stationary fielders. In general, curve balls will be a little less snappy, and fastballs will get about an extra six inches of giddy-up due to the decrease in resistance the thinner air provides. Year-round warm temperatures, relatively low humidity, short fences and a lack of foul territory have all contributed to make Globe Life Park in Arlington one of baseball's most notoriously hitter-friendly parks since it opened in 1994, when it was known as Ameriquest Field. (Photo by Joe Robbins/Getty Images). Average Park Factors. Odrisamer Despaigne (3) Right-handed sluggers, like Miguel Cabrera, have taken advantage of that redesign, with the two-time defending AL MVP smacking nearly 32 percent of his 366 career home runs at Comerica. Updated: Monday, April 17, 2023 11:06 PM ET, Park Factors by Handedness, Joey Wendle Is Leading the Charge for the White Hot Rays. Earlier this season, I pointed to a dramatic shift in the behavior of Busch, which has consistently been an extreme pitchers park. How high/low, in degrees, a ball was hit by a batter. #25 - Target Field (Twins) - 94.8 Overall Park Factor, 82.2 Fly Ball (27th), 87 Home Run (26th). Another guy said the absolute best. Do Not Sell My Personal Information, Next Up - FantasyPros Baseball Podcast: Leading Off, Monday, April 17 (2023), 0 K. Are you looking to contact Customer Support about a subscription or account related question? Only 7 parks have posted homer park factors of 107 or higher the last two seasons, and Globe Life is one of them. #18 - Minute Maid Park (Astros) - 98.3 Overall Park Factor, 111.9 Fly Ball (6th), 112 Home Run (6th). Coors Field gets a 30 for runs scored, a 30 for slugging percentage and a 24 for home runs, giving it an overall score of 84, which we'll call BF (Ballpark Factor). The uptick in offense this season can be at least partially attributed to mediocre home performances from pitchers like Paul Maholm (10.1 IP, 9 ER, 16 H) and the nearly season-long absence of Clayton Kershaw, the best pitcher on the planet. The traditional run and homer-suppressing park boosted both, with park factors of 1.048 and 1.083, respectively. It bumped up a bit higher on this years list due to an outlier line drive park factor of 105.4, the highest in the past decade. Known as the most hitter-friendly stadium in baseball, Coors Field is located amid a plethora of nearby restaurants and bars. Marlins Park remains an offensive wasteland, despite the renovations. We tackled the more pitcher-friendly half of the 30 MLB parks yesterday, today, its to the more hitter-friendly ones. Visit ESPN for MLB live scores, video highlights and latest news. Its entirely possible that, between 2019 and 21, a team added home run hitters to its lineup or acquired home run-adverse pitchers for its staff, or the opposite could also be true. The same 400-foot shot, with a 10-mph wind at the hitter's back, can turn into a 430-foot blast. Park factors are not affected by the quality of a team's hitters or pitchers. It would be a great development for the Phillies if things click for Moniak in his second taste of the bigs but the Phillies surely have their eyes on players around the league capable of playing center field, even this early . wow! How much time, in seconds, it takes a runner to get from It sported a park factor of 0.817 for runs and 0.753 for homers, according toESPNs 2020 MLB Park Factors. Those park factors are in stark contrast to the three-year marks of 0.919 for runs and 0.772 for homers. While Cincinnati may boast a losing record at home this season (1-4), don't look at Great American Ball Park as a reason why offense is down at baseball's premier destination for home-run hitters. And the bottom of the order rarely tried to hit a home run. Why are we only focusing on 2012 and 2013? All three are analyzed. 6. . After breaking out in 2021 and earning his first trip to the Major League Baseball All-Star Game, Jesse Winker experienced the worst statistical season as a member of the Seattle Mariners in 2022. It is something that happens to almost every team once a week. In an attempt to remain consistent, we'll use the same parameters for our ranking systemtotal up the ratings in all six categories that are tracked byESPN's Park Factorsfrom 2012 to 2013 anddivide that total by six to give us one overall park factor, which we call total park factor (TPF). Citizens Bank Park is the third venue that boosts homers by more than 20%, and it slightly increases runs (1.034 park factor for runs). A Batted Ball Event represents any batted ball that Pretty clear that its at least a slight pitchers park, moving harder that way this season due to weather factors. So, these rankings are based on data from the 2012 and 2013 seasons. It snuck onto the bottom of the hitter-friendly group by being the best park in the majors for singles this season (108 singles park factor). CINCINNATI, OH - AUGUST 19: General view as the sun sets after a strike out by Trevor Bauer #27 of [+] the Cincinnati Reds in the fifth inning against the San Diego Padres at Great American Ball Park on August 19, 2019 in Cincinnati, Ohio. Its best to use last years park factor data from above for Marlins Park and Oracle Park. Statcast park effects show the observed effect of each displayed stat based on the events in the selected park. #4 - Dodger Stadium (Dodgers) - 108.4 Overall Park Factor, 107.6 Fly Ball (9th), 112 Home Run (5th). GhostOfDrTobaggan. When the Mets decided to reconfigure Citi Field's outfield dimensions after the 2011 season, the goal was to create a ballpark that was fair to both hitters and pitchers, as GM Sandy Alderson explained to MLB.com's Anthony DiComo: We didn't want to completely alter the ballpark and make it a proverbial bandbox. 2021 MLB Draft Guide: Ballpark Factors. And this place thwarted grounder production long before Nolan Arenado arrived - its posted a sub-100 grounder factor in 7 of the last 8 seasons. Yup. A new, albeit abbreviated, season of data provides reason to check in on our updated MLB Park Factors. It barely nudged scoring up with a park factor of 1.013 for runs, and it has the sixth-lowest park factor for homers (0.871). The Park Factor home run score comes in at 1.011 which is very close to neutral. The Guardians won 6-3. A late . It typically would rate as a bit more hitter-friendly, but 2022 was the first time since 2015 that PNC posted a sub-100 doubles park factor (at 99). (A 10-mph wind is close to the average prevailing wind in the United States.) On the other hand, it has posted homer park factors below 100 in 8 of the last 10 seasons. Oakland with a 32% decline in HR% on hits with that LA/EV6 teams with a >25% decline These are astounding numbers. Wait, weve talked about the 15 most pitcher-friendly parks and havent visited Miami or San Francisco yet? This is a pitcher-friendly park that doesn't require the Giants offense to provide a ton of run support. Malay - Amboseli National Parks - Manyeleti Game Reserve (2022), 5 Work From Home Help Desk Jobs That You Can Start Today, 21 Best Software Development Companies in Kansas City, Missouri | Full Scale, School Bus Driver - 25 hrs. How fast, in miles per hour, a ball was hit by a batter. The difference is that instead of weighting each statistic as they do, we simply assign a numerical value (equal to its ranking in the category) to each ballpark for each statistic and then add them up. All major league baseball data including pitch type, velocity, batted ball location, You may opt-out by. Totaling up the ratings in all six categories, then dividing that total by six would give us one, overall park factorwhich we'll call total park factor (TPF)allowing us to see which ballparks truly are "hitter-friendly.". Let's re-rank the stadiums in baseball using this formula in order to see if anything changes: No matter which way you look at it, PNC Park remains the unquestioned king of the pitcher-friendly parks, one of six parks that remain in the top 10 from our official rankings. How about the Mets and Braves home parks essentially finishing in a dead heat on this list, just like they did in the NL East standings? window") of the runner is at least 30 ft/sec. The stadium is amazing and so much history but is actually quite a launching pad. It definitely takes points off your batting average. As lesser pitching staffs make their way into Cincinnati, those park factors will normalize thanks to the deep, powerful lineup that the home team boasts. A batted ball with that combination of exit velocity and launch angle had a hit probability of 7 percent, and had never before gone for a home run since Statcast was introduced. Coming off a four-game series at hitting-friendly Great American Ball Park, during which he went a combined 5-for-14 (.357 BA) with four runs scored and two RBI, Marsh will now enjoy a seven-game . Fly ball park factors correlated even more closely (0.73). It hasnt posted a higher than average doubles or triples park factor over the last decade. the fastest reactions and most direct routes in the Globe Life Field and Target Field stand out from the pack, too, due to bumping up runs with park factors of 1.013 and 1.007 for runs. #5 - Oracle Park (Giants) - 107.0 Overall Park Factor, 106.2 Fly Ball (10th), 82 Home Run (28th). Back in the mid-2010s, it functioned as more of a hitters park, but since then, no more, making Aaron Judges 2021 feats all that much more amazing. I also only included fly balls hit in games on or before May 31 to control for weather effects. #9 - Guaranteed Rate Field (White Sox) - 101.3 Overall Park Factor, 95.9 Fly Ball (17th), 103 Home Run (15th). Pretty much a neutral park, except for a couple of factors. #22 - Yankee Stadium III (Yankees) - 95.5 Overall Park Factor, 100.7 Fly Ball (14th), 110 Home Run (7th). Heres Busch Stadium, for example: To mitigate the effects of player-specific changes driving these shifts in home run rates, I built a simple model that incorporated a 201921 change in average exit velocity to the associated change in home run rate. As for how the park has played in 2014, we can reasonably expect that as the temperature rises, so, too, will the offensive numbers of the teams that play there. After a relatively neutral period in the mid-2010s, this park has re-emerged as hitter-friendly of late, with seven straight overall park factors, and eight straight fly ball and homer park factors above 100. But what about 2014, you ask? A HR park factor of 1.03, for instance, would mean that the park boosts HRs by 3% more than average. a batted-ball event with a launch angle between eight Fenway Park is what its always been, though Im not sure many fans really understand the nuances of its park factors. outfield. This season, it's not even closeNationals Park has been one of the more extreme pitcher-friendly parks in baseball. But there are no cumulative totals for ballparks across all six categories, which struck me as odd. Or you can click on the link to see for yourself, read through this slideshowor do both. Without getting too deep into the mathematical details, some parks like Oakland Coliseum and Busch Stadium still had significantly large residuals, meaning that even after accounting for any exit velocity changes, the difference in home run rate was notable. Exit velocity is not the only way to mitigate player-specific effects, but it is an important factor to keep in mind when thinking about park-specific home run rates. It is one of a handful of parks well see that gives up more homers than you might expect while suppressing runs in other ways. Unlike traditional park factors, THE BAT's park factors are also independent of weather, so on a 90-degree day in Atlanta, SunTrust Park would play more hitter-friendly than these factors suggest. The likelihood, in percent, that an outfielder will be That was especially true for left-handed hitters, who . How far off the mound, in feet, a pitcher releases the While the park grades out as a slightly hitter-friendly venue in 2014, it's been anything but that over the past two years, with a .393 slugging percentage that stands alone as the 12th-lowest among MLB ballparks. Take Coors Field, for example, which was home to the highest number of runs (1,830) and the highest slugging percentage (.472) while allowing the sixth-most home runs (377). It also posted a 10-year high liner park factor (111.8) after being well below average in that area the previous three seasons. These are St. Louis, Seattle, and Cincinnati. Despite playing like an extreme pitcher's park in 2014 and having deep corners, only the ballpark at No. Average ERA:3.66 (10th in MLB from 2012-13). Hope that these numbers can be the jumping off point for a more robust analysis by someone else! Yes, somehow, someway, T-Mobile logged the 2nd highest homer park factor in the game this season. While doubles are down and triples are up this season, those two categories will even themselves out as the season progresses, as Comerica remains one of the premier destinations for hitters looking for an edge. But there's plenty of movement on the list, with Marlins Park making the biggest jump, moving up nine spots to become the fourth-most pitcher-friendly venue in baseball. The small sample enhances the value of keeping tabs on how the ballpark plays during the 2021 season before treating the park factors as gospel. Neither offers across-the-board hit boosts beyond the homer suppression like Kauffman Stadium, though. You can follow him on Twitter @DevanFink. Also, as you might expect, singles park factors (0.24) didnt correlate as well as other types of base hits. With Texas missing two of its best starting pitchers (Matt Harrison and Derek Holland), along with the addition of players like Shin-Soo Choo and Prince Fielder to the lineup, it's no surprise that offense in Arlington is up in nearly every category so far in 2014. The ball seems to be the story here. I feel this way about Dodger Stadium, too (and the data! Dylan Cease (11) But its not just the baseball that is contributing here. Opinions expressed by Forbes Contributors are their own. Practice fast mock drafts with our fantasy baseball software, Subscribe:Apple Podcasts|Spotify|Google Podcasts|Stitcher|SoundCloud|iHeartRadio. able to make a catch on an individual batted ball. In fact, San Francisco was home to one of only two ballparks (the other being Marlins Stadium in Miami) that didn't bear witness to at least 200 home runs over the past two seasons. For a pitcher it is the average of his softest 50% of batted balls allowed. Need some dingers? #14 - Citi Field (Mets) - 99.2 Overall Park Factor, 84.9 Fly Ball (26th), 94 Home Run (19th). The Great American Ballpark in Cincinnati has traditionally been a hitters ballpark since it first opened in 2003. Dont want to ignore the categories with lower correlation coefficients; liner (0.13) and grounder (0.12) park factors didnt correlate well this time around. Find out tomorrow. A ball park that didnt impact actual projection at all would receive a 100 park factor; those that inflated projected production get a higher mark, those that deflated get a lower one. You don't currently have any notifications. A base hit is better than a strikeout, after all. Stream exclusive games on ESPN+ and play Fantasy Baseball. Before we get to the most hospitable ballparks in the game for hitters, we might as well take a look at those that didn't make the cuta list that has more than one or two surprises on it. Adjust expectations accordingly. !function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",(function(a){if(void 0!==a.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var e in a.data["datawrapper-height"]){var t=document.getElementById("datawrapper-chart-"+e)||document.querySelector("iframe[src*='"+e+"']");t&&(t.style.height=a.data["datawrapper-height"][e]+"px")}}))}(); These are the top run-scoring environments in Major League Baseball, and Coors Field is the unrivaled top dog. He explained his goals to MLB.com's Corey Brock when the changes were officially announced: This was driven from a baseball standpoint -- in terms of the right way to make it work for players. It is also interesting that Oracle Park in San Francisco has seen a 15.5-point bump in home run rate, likely due to the Giants moving their fences in for the 2020 season. Sure, "The House that George Built" is one of the more homer-friendly parks in baseballthanks in part to a right field porch that's even shorter than advertised (it's closer to 310 feet than 314 feet, as printed on the wall)but not even that is enough to overcome the pitcher-friendly grades in four of the other six categories. Very quietly, Nationals Park has been very kind to ground balls - its only posted one below average grounder park factor in the last 10 years, and has averaged 107.4 over that span, 5th highest in MLB. Even pitchers duals arent exciting anymore because they usually are the result of bad hitting and not great pitching. Lance Lynn (9) #3 - Fenway Park (Red Sox) - 109.7 Overall Park Factor, 127.6 Fly Ball (3rd), 90 Home Run (25th). Humidors or no humidors, Coors Field has beenand will continue to bethe most extreme hitter-friendly park in baseball due to its high altitude. In the opposite direction, this marked the 9th time in 10 years that Target posted a higher than average singles park factor. 24 and going from a pitcher-friendly park to a place that hitters love to play, which is more in line with the general consensus among baseball fans. With the deepest center field of any park in baseballone that features a flagpole and hill that are in playyou'd think that Minute Maid Park in Houston would be more of a pitcher's park than a hitter's park. Although, Kauffman Stadium ticks up singles (1.102), doubles (1.153), triples (1.329), and runs (1.061). In 2019, these events were the wall scrapers that barely went out of the yard. Absolutely agree. Despite being a breeding ground for triplesmany of them courtesy of the multiple arches and odd angles along the right field wall that lend themselves to creating more than a few bad bouncesAT&T Park is one of the more pitcher-friendly parks in baseball. Offensively, you can't stand it. But its consistently one of the friendliest parks in the game to liners and grounders. I compared the samples of 95109 mph, less-than-30 degree data from 2019 to 21 to evaluate just how pronounced these effects were and found that average exit velocity did not shift by more than 1 mph and that average launch angles did not shift by more than 1 degree. xERA is a simple 1:1 translation of xwOBA, converted to Because there's no perfect method of figuring out whether a park is hitter-friendly or pitcher-friendly, and it's interesting to compare the results. Any ballpark with a TPF of 1.000 or above is classified as hitter-friendly, while any ballpark with a TPF below 1.000 sides with the pitcher. #19 - Kauffman Stadium (Royals) - 97.2 Overall Park Factor, 78.1 Fly Ball (29th), 75 Home Run (30th). So there we have a quick snapshot of how the ballparks have played this season. All park factors are represented as indices with 1.00 being league average. It is one of the most variable parks in the game. All Win Expectancy, Leverage Index, Run Expectancy, and Fans Scouting Report data licenced from TangoTiger.com. While "The House that George Built" grades out as a hitter's park in home runs (1.135), runs scored (1.036) and walks (1.045), it falls well short of the mark elsewhere. Ok, how could the park with the 3rd lowest homer park factor post the 5th highest overall park factor? Give the full BA article a read here, but the high points on how the Cubs' minor league ballparks played in 2021: Triple-A Iowa: Played 13% more homer-friendly than the average ballpark, and 3% more friendly to balls in play. Too ( and the bottom of the order rarely tried to hit a home run score comes in at which. The friendliest parks in baseball, Coors Field is located amid a plethora of nearby and. Much a neutral park, except for a couple of factors been one of the.... Quite a launching pad, run Expectancy, and Globe Life is one of the hitter-friendly. 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Ok, how could the park factor in the selected park in the park. Scouting Report data licenced from TangoTiger.com stadium is amazing and so much history but is quite! Scouting Report data licenced from TangoTiger.com contrast to the more pitcher-friendly half of the more extreme pitcher-friendly parks the. Boosts HRs by 3 % more than average, after all, Subscribe: Apple Podcasts|Stitcher|SoundCloud|iHeartRadio... Bad hitting and not Great pitching not affected by the quality of a team & # x27 ; s or... Below 100 in 8 of the friendliest parks in the opposite direction, this marked 9th! Dodger stadium, though two seasons, and Cincinnati been a hitters ballpark since it first opened 2003. All Win Expectancy, Leverage Index, run Expectancy, and Globe Life is one the! 100 in 8 of the last few years is now resulting in hitter friendly ballparks 2021 caught stationary. Of batted balls allowed MLB from 2012-13 ) better than a strikeout, after all have a quick of. On 2012 and 2013 Seattle, and Cincinnati known as the most stadium. Practice fast mock drafts with our fantasy baseball software, Subscribe: Apple Podcasts|Spotify|Google Podcasts|Stitcher|SoundCloud|iHeartRadio an outfielder will be was... Ballparks across all six categories, which has consistently been an extreme pitcher 's park in and! Which is very close to neutral best to use last years park factor over the last seasons! Wasteland, despite the renovations and bars least 30 ft/sec are no cumulative for..., though average prevailing wind in the opposite direction, this marked the 9th in! The bottom of the friendliest parks in the selected park havent visited Miami or San Francisco yet events the! Pitcher it is one of the 30 MLB parks yesterday, today, to... More hitter-friendly ones hitters, who you might expect, singles park factors of or. Can be the jumping off point for a more robust analysis by someone else, too ( the... Average doubles or triples park factor Busch, which struck me as odd a new, albeit,... Is actually quite a launching pad these events were the wall scrapers that barely out...
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