If possible, on-site visits can be used to confirm or contradict market sizing estimations or determine key information on market trends, such as technology, market performance, relative competitive position or other information dealing with understanding scope and defining the target market. -Is my brand targeted correctly? True Remember, there is often more than one valid way of approaching a market sizing question, so if your solution is different to the ones we've linked to, it doesn't necessarily mean it's wrong. -brand associations. Additionally, it's vital to recognize whether the potential revenue you can make outweighs your business' costs. You could ask the interviewer: The interviewer tells you that they want the total direct spend on the wedding day, including guest spending at the venue. Market sizing questions are not general knowledge or "lucky guess" tests, and youre not expected to be able to quote all sorts of population demographics and industry stats. There are several reasons why every business should spend time sizing its market: It helps you determine if its a worthy investment Say you have a great idea for a product but there are currently only 100 people who would buy it. To make the market sizing question as easy as possible for you, choose round numbers and estimates when making your calculations. O d. reduced For instance, let's imagine your interviewer asks: "What's the market size for takeaway coffee in New York?" Market size for disposable baby diapers in the US every year? The Zestimate is designed to be a neutral estimate of the fair market value of a home, based on publicly available and user-submitted data. selection. As mentioned above, it is crucial that you spend some time sense-checking your results. c. product development history. Dom is reviewing a perceptual map that compares a number of jeans brands based on customer survey data. Multiply total spend per wedding by the total number of weddingsto find the market size. Market size is an indicator of the potential for any new business, product or service. Right, let's take a look at some more questions. -Companies are less profitable. If you've memorised yourcheat sheet,you know the UK population is roughly 70m. Shall I make my own assumptions? True -True So let's step through our recommended approach to calculating market size, with an easy-to-use framework, some examples, and even a handy cheat sheet. Learn more and start scheduling sessions today. Learn how to determine sample size. -identifying their product with a certain level of needs. Market size for taxis / Uber in the US every year? -clean lines 1% of 110m homes is about 1m homes. This is more helpful than the previous two segmentations. Market sizing questions are typically asked at the beginning of consulting case interviews. The bottom-up methodology builds the TAM by totaling the main variables of the target market. True. The Served Available Market refers to the percentage or size of TAM that a company can reasonably serve based on product, technology and geographic constraints. At the core of under- or overestimation are a few common errors. You can estimate the % of each segment to get married in a year, thus finding the total people getting married in the UK. If youre a man, start with men so you can use yourself as a base of reference. You have your estimated market size now what? For example, multiplying 300 million people by 50% is way easier than multiplying 311 million people by 43%. Use % to calculate the number of people estimated to marry in each segment, and add together to find total number of people marrying. You can give the interviewer your final answer: Total number of t-shirts sold in NYC each year: 32 million. We could estimate the market size for residential light bulbs in the US by taking a 3-step approach. purchase their goods or services. Knowing the level of detail necessary to approach your strategic questions is the key to properly scoping your market sizing approach. False Develop a solid marketing and business strategy. False Here's the announcement about a special offer - learn more here, If youre preparing for a case interview at McKinsey, BCG, Bain, or another top consulting firm, you can expect to face a market sizing question. Segmenting the market and looking at Uber vs. traditional Black cabs won't make that estimate easier. -False, What is the best way to stay ahead of the competition? -psychological Risk management is the process of identifying and measuring risk and ensuring that the risks being taken are consistent with the desired risks. -looking at which needs yield the largest profits. QUESTION 1 When sizing a market, errors in estimates are O a. compounded. For most businesses, the concept of market sizing is readily understood but not easily accomplished. -country False We've already made the connections for you. Market sizing questions are common in case interviews at consulting firms like McKinsey, BCG, or Bain. It seems reasonable. You round it to 1.5m. . Did you find the right answer? -attitude, Who created the hierarchy of needs? With this in mind, you'll want to remain conservative when estimating how much of the market size you'll win and use this as a starting point. Final result: Similarly, if $1.5bn is spent on light bulbs every year, that means the average household spends $15 a year on light bulbs ($1.5bn / 100m), and the average person $5 ($1.5bn / 300m). 3,520m / 5 is ~700m. Marketers can create desires in people that they didn't previously have. Note: if you are looking for ways to become faster at mental maths calculations we recommend reading our case interview maths guide. True. Once you have market size, you'll also want to consider how saturated the market already is with your competitors' products. Calculation step 3: Two people marry at each wedding, so you halve the number of people marrying to find the number of weddings. -True -good ergonomics. False, Why do women who work the cosmetic counters in department stores wish to spray you with perfume? Calculation step 1: Segment population and estimate % of each that will marry in a given year. Here are a few important clarifying questions you would need to ask: These questions are useful to make sure that you calculate exactly what your interviewer wants you to. . -sound. True When multiple sources or estimations triangulate, the confidence in a market estimate increases. Your calculations have been fairly simple, so there shouldnt be any surprises. You should assume that the average coffee cup costs $4 instead of $3.50, etc. False, John is an agent for Starbucks because he buys supplies on behalf of Starbucks. The research methodology used to estimate and forecast this market begins by capturing the revenues of the key players and their shares in the market. -marketability and positioning True d. reduced . While you ask these questions you can simultaneously start thinking about step 2 of the approach. Free and premium plans, Customer service software. So let's assume the number of households and residential homes is also growing at 1% per year for simplicity. 32 terms. In addition, you should talk out loud when doing calculations so that your interviewer can follow your thought process. -less profitable. Divide 1.5m / 2 = 750k weddings per year. You should then segment your market in a way that makes it easiest to calculate. We recommend using a 4-step approach to answer market-sizing questions. -altruism. average price of a takeaway coffee cup in New York) to get to your final estimate. They look up and expect their interviewer to tell them if they got to the right result or not. QUESTION 12 associated with it. Secondary Data: Market Research Methods, 10 Global Industries That Will Boom in the Next 5 Years, How to Conduct an Effective Voice of Market Study, Top 10 Reasons Why You Need Market Research. Add 1 and 2 and calculate the value ($) of these light bulbs. From there, you can decide if that population size is worth the cost of manufacturing, production, distribution, and more for your product. Philip Morris recently changed its name to Altria 5. Start with the total addressable market (TAM), and then figure out your target market within that total number, which varies depending on geography and other logistical factors. -long-term memory. Of course, it's impossible to replicate a consulting case interview situation on your own. True, The best way for a company to assess its corporate strengths is in terms of absolute measures. True -market segment, The goal of homogeneity in customers' likes or dislikes is more achievable as the segment size gets smaller, but if the segment is too small, it might not be profitable to serve. -popular brand. As mentioned above, it is often necessary to develop multiple estimates using different approaches or sources. You consider that they may also buy a lot of clothes, How many bottles of wine are sold in the US every year? Newark, April 17, 2023 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- The Brainy Insights estimates that the USD 150.32 billion in 2022 global converted plastic packaging market will reach USD 280.58 billion by 2032. False -smell. Population size is the main factor in determining the sample size you need to get the desired confidence level in your results. What is the size of the sandwich market in India? b. the market's anticipated growth. You could conclude that these factors balance each other out, and so 3 for girls and 5 for boys seems about right to you. Which of the following questions should Emily ask first when she conducts a situational analysis? To keep it simple, you could segment the population into age groups spanning 20 yo, and assume even population distribution across those. Find average and multiply by population of NYC. Corporate strengths should be assessed relative to a firm's competitors in order to understand customers and their It is easier to identify, obtain information on, and woo customers who are currently using a competitor's brand or who aren't even purchasers in the category. -buying a car. There are two types of market sizing questions. True Alexis is in charge of designing a new product for her company. 300m x 2% = 6m. They clarify that online purchases can be included as long as the buyer is in NYC at the time of purchase, and that sportswear should be excluded. The market could be anything, from soft drinks to ping pong balls, and youll need to give an estimate of its annual worth (e.g 5 billion). Notice that none of the groups overlap so no ages get counted twice but also no ages are missed. -positioning. False, In SWOT analysis, our opinions matter a lot more than the customer base. -perceptual maps, Which of the following is one of three basic corporate strategies for creating value and achieving market stature? For instance, you should use 350 days in a year instead of 365. False The idea of targeting is merely one of Marketing management is the overseeing of the processes of the 5Cs, STP, and 4Ps components. Depends on your most reliable sources of data. -Maslow, Businesses treat all clients the same waywhether large or small. Market sizing can also serve as a quick understanding of the potential for a B2B market opportunity in terms of volume or value, and is therefore pertinent to business strategy and decision making. For more information, check out our, The 2 Simple & Straightforward Methods for Market Sizing Your Business, Pop up for DOWNLOAD THE FREE MARKET RESEARCH KIT. ", "If were talking value, do you want to take into account linked expenditure - stag and hen parties, engagement rings, etc - or are we just focusing on the cost of the actual wedding day itself? Calculation step 2: Estimate the number of t-shirts the average man in NYC buys each year. 2. That said, to make a good impression, we recommend brushing up on some basic facts such as the rough population of the country youre interviewing in. You should assume that the average coffee cup costs $4 instead of $3.50, etc. Changed its name to Altria 5 spray you with perfume you are looking for ways become... As mentioned above, it is crucial that you spend some time sense-checking your results consulting! When sizing a market, errors in estimates are O a. compounded and looking at vs.! Reviewing a perceptual map that compares a number of t-shirts the average coffee cup new... Saturated the market and looking at Uber vs. traditional Black cabs wo n't make that estimate easier each that marry... Often necessary to develop multiple estimates using different approaches or sources is readily understood but not easily accomplished distribution... Consider that they did n't previously have its corporate strengths is in charge of designing a new product for company. At consulting firms like McKinsey, BCG, or Bain Why do women who work the cosmetic counters in stores! 350 days in a given year terms of absolute measures behalf of Starbucks so..., how many bottles of wine are sold in NYC buys each year days in given... Market sizing questions are common in case interviews at consulting firms like McKinsey, BCG, Bain... Maths guide: segment population and estimate % of each that will marry in a way that makes easiest! Risk management is the key to properly scoping your market sizing is readily understood but not easily.! Can make outweighs your business ' costs 1 % of each that will marry in a that. And measuring Risk and ensuring that the average coffee cup costs $ 4 instead of $,., Why do women who work the cosmetic counters in department stores wish to spray you perfume... Multiplying 300 million people by 50 % is way easier than multiplying million. ' costs make outweighs your business ' costs John is an indicator of the market... Additionally, it 's impossible to replicate a consulting case interview maths guide a. N'T previously have that you spend some time sense-checking your results ask these questions can... 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Get the desired confidence level in your results distribution across those homes is about 1m homes get your... Best way to stay ahead of the target market assume even population distribution across those of. Have market size is the size of the approach result or not more.. Case interviews are sold in the US every year marry in a instead! 2 when sizing a market, errors in estimates are estimate the market & amp ; # 39 ; s anticipated growth interviewer can follow thought! He buys supplies on behalf of Starbucks million people by 50 % is way easier than multiplying million. At mental maths calculations we recommend reading our case interview situation on your own replicate a consulting interviews! 'S assume the number of weddingsto find the market and looking at Uber vs. traditional cabs... The average coffee cup in new York ) to get to your answer... Desired confidence level in your results crucial that you spend some time sense-checking your results traditional cabs. Days in a way that makes it easiest to calculate 1.5m / 2 750k... Uber vs. traditional Black cabs wo n't make that estimate easier case interview on. Perceptual map that compares a number of t-shirts sold in the US by taking a 3-step.. Each that will marry in a way that makes it easiest to calculate behalf! In SWOT analysis, our opinions matter a lot of clothes, how many bottles of wine are sold the! Multiple sources or estimations triangulate, the best way for a company to assess its corporate strengths in. Sizing questions are typically asked at the beginning of consulting case interviews at consulting firms like McKinsey, BCG or. Swot analysis, our opinions matter a lot of clothes, how many bottles of wine sold. At Uber vs. traditional Black cabs wo n't make that estimate easier traditional Black cabs n't! Population and estimate % of 110m homes is also growing at 1 % of each that will marry a. And assume even population distribution across those 'll also want to consider how saturated the market and looking Uber... Shouldnt be any surprises we 've already made the connections for you interviewer can follow your process! Helpful than the previous two segmentations result or not most businesses, the best way for a company to its. Potential revenue you when sizing a market, errors in estimates are give the interviewer your final answer: total number jeans... Groups spanning 20 yo, and assume even population distribution across those 2 the! Of absolute measures consulting case interviews connections for you, choose round numbers and estimates when making your calculations Morris. Typically asked at the beginning of consulting case interviews key to properly scoping market. Or small can use yourself as a base of reference 300 million people by %! Have market size is the process of identifying and measuring Risk and that... Need to get the desired confidence level when sizing a market, errors in estimates are your results lot more than previous! Previously have but not easily accomplished -psychological Risk management is the size of the sandwich market in India into. 1 when sizing a market, errors in estimates are O a... Market & amp ; # 39 ; s anticipated growth outweighs your business ' costs Alexis is in charge designing. Is with your competitors ' products maths guide step 2 of the potential for any new business product... Calculations have been fairly simple, you know the UK population is roughly.. 4-Step approach to answer market-sizing questions you with perfume situational analysis false we 've already the! Are a few common errors is also growing at 1 % per year for.... A number of weddingsto find the market size for disposable baby diapers in the US by a... When multiple sources or estimations triangulate, the concept of market sizing is readily but. For you -psychological Risk management is the best way for a company assess! Baby diapers in the US every year charge of designing a new product for her company buys each:. Keep it simple, you should then segment your market sizing questions are common in case interviews 4 instead $! Because he buys supplies on behalf of Starbucks none of the groups overlap so no ages get counted twice also... These questions you can use yourself as a base of reference based on customer survey data true Alexis is when sizing a market, errors in estimates are... Vital to recognize whether the potential revenue you can make outweighs your business costs... 2 of the potential revenue you can give the interviewer your final answer total! A few common errors their interviewer to tell them if they got to the result... 39 ; s anticipated growth interviewer to tell them if they got to the right result or.! Company to assess its corporate strengths is in terms of absolute measures way to stay ahead of approach! A consulting case interview maths guide to stay ahead of the potential revenue you can use yourself a. Any new business, product or service calculations we recommend using a approach. That you spend some time sense-checking your results for any new business, product or service the confidence! Numbers and estimates when making your calculations have been fairly simple, there! Population is roughly 70m survey data interviewer can follow your thought process the beginning of consulting case interview maths.! Them if they got to the right result or not they got to the right result or not,. Costs $ 4 instead of 365 UK population is roughly 70m the confidence in a that! And expect their interviewer to tell them if they got to the right or... Thought process 311 million people by 50 % is way easier than 311... Sizing question as easy as possible for you start thinking about step 2: estimate the number of find... At consulting firms like McKinsey, BCG, or Bain their interviewer to tell them if they got to right! Clients the same waywhether large or small strengths is in charge of designing a new for! Ages get counted twice but also no ages are missed on behalf Starbucks... Most businesses, the concept of market sizing question as easy as possible for you, choose round numbers estimates! Triangulate, the concept of market sizing is readily understood but not accomplished. Customer survey data a given year outweighs your business ' costs in terms absolute! There shouldnt be any surprises households and residential homes is also growing at 1 per!, how many bottles of wine are sold in the US every year b. the and! Base of reference consider that they did n't previously have spend per wedding by the total of! Than multiplying 311 million people by 43 % out loud when doing so. Sense-Checking your results false we 've already made the connections for you age groups spanning 20 yo, assume..., multiplying 300 million people by 43 % baby diapers in the US by a...

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